Red Sox pitching prospect Brayan Bello soars into Top 100

Red Sox pitching prospect Brayan Bello’s stock is on the rise

Baseball America’s Latest Top 100 List features several perspectives of the Boston Red Sox farm system, but one such player stands out for his meteoric rise in the rankings.

Right-handed pitcher Brayan Bello jumped 30 spots to No. 49 overall in the updated rankings. Bello didn’t even make Baseball America’s roster in January, but he’s already moved to the top half of the roster.

The rise is justified by Bello’s outstanding performance this season. He started the year at Double-A Portland where he went 4-2 with a 1.60 ERA, .832 WHIP and 11.2 K/9s in six starts. This includes a no-hitter in a complete seven-inning game that was part of a doubleheader.

The 23-year-old celebrated his birthday last month with a promotion to Triple-A Worcester. In three starts for the WooSox, Bello is 3-0 with a 3.18 ERA, 1.294 WHIP and 13.8 K/9s.

Baseball America isn’t the only one putting Bello on its radar. MLB pipeline ranked him #83 in their current rankings, not far behind where Baseball America had him in their previous edition. A similar jump could be in store for Bello when MLB’s website makes its next revisions.

Bello increased his speed during his rise through the minor league system and now throws a four-seam fastball that sits in the upper 90s. He has good field moves late in life but can sometimes struggle with his command, according to scouting report. His eight walks in 17 innings at the Triple-A level (4.2 BB/9) are a slight concern that was somewhat mitigated by his elite strikeout rate.

His best secondary pitch is a change that falls off the table late to generate swings and misses. He also mixes in a slider with an above-average spin rate that has the potential to be a reliable pitch if he can find more consistency with his fluency.

Bello should be a starter in the middle of the rotation, but his advantage is growing as he continues to show signs of improvement.

Dominant as he has been, the Red Sox can’t use their shaky pitching staff as an excuse to rush Bello. He has just three starts under his belt at Triple-A and would benefit from more time to hone his skills, refine his command and continue to develop his slider. Bello will struggle to navigate major league lineups as a starter multiple times without a reliable third pitch.

It’s possible the Red Sox will call Bello late in the season to fortify the bullpen. They would prefer to keep him as a long-term starter, but a late-season transition to the bullpen could help monitor his workload. At least a cup of coffee in September would be warranted if he continues to impress during his time at Worcester.

Three other Red Sox prospects have also made Baseball America’s Top 100, led by Marcelo Mayerwhich moved up to 12th in the list. Triston Casas fell four spots to No. 20. Both stud prospects have been sidelined recently by injuries, but they remain the cream of the crop in the Red Sox farm system. Nick York dropped a handful of spots at No. 33. The second baseman has struggled to recapture the magic of his excellent 2021 Low-A season. The move to Advanced A comes with a learning curve that Yorke will no doubt adapt to.

The Red Sox’s top three prospects are getting the most attention, but as the highest-rated pitching prospect in the system, it’s encouraging to see Bello on the radar.

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