Monthly Forecasts of the Security Council Report, October 2021 – Afghanistan
In October, Kenya will assume the presidency of the Security Council.
Kenya will host several signing events during its presidency. He will convene a high-level public debate on the theme “Diversity and Statebuilding” under the agenda item “Peacebuilding and peacekeeping”. President Uhuru Kenyatta of Kenya plans to chair the session.
The Council is also expected to hold a high-level public debate via video conference (VTC) on cooperation between the UN and regional and subregional organizations, with a focus on the AU. President Kenyatta is also expected to chair this meeting. Briefings are expected from Secretary-General Guterres, Chairperson of the AU Commission Moussa Faki Mahamat and High Representative of the African Union Peace Fund Donald Kaberuka. A presidential statement is one possible outcome.
The annual public debate on women, peace and security is scheduled for October and will be held at ministerial level. It appears that the open debate will focus on the contribution of local women to peacekeeping, peacebuilding and transitional frameworks during and after United Nations peace operations. Much like Ireland in September and Mexico next month, Kenya plans to make women, peace and security one of the key themes of its presidency.
A briefing will be organized to consider the seventh biennial report of the Secretary-General on small arms and light weapons (SALW). United Nations High Representative for Disarmament Affairs Izumi Nakamitsu, Executive Secretary of the Regional Center on Small Arms in the Great Lakes, Horn of Africa and Neighboring States (RECSA), Lieutenant-General Badrelin Elamin Abdelgadir, and Small Arms Survey Principal Investigator David Lochhead are expected briefers.
The Council will hear a briefing by the Special Envoy of the Secretary-General for the Great Lakes, Huang Xia, on the semi-annual report of the Secretary-General on the implementation of the Framework Agreement for Peace, Security and Cooperation for the Democratic Republic of the Congo and the region. The format of the meeting is expected to be a ministerial-level debate chaired by Kenyan Foreign Minister Raychelle Omamo. A presidential statement is the expected outcome of this meeting.
The Council is also expected to carry out a visiting mission to the Sahel during the month, visiting Mali and Niger. France and Niger co-lead the mission.
The other African issues on the work program in October are:
Democratic Republic of the Congo, a briefing on the United Nations Organization Stabilization Mission in the Democratic Republic of the Congo (MONUSCO);
Western Sahara, a briefing in consultations on the United Nations Mission for the Referendum in Western Sahara (MINURSO) and a renewal of the mission’s mandate;
Central African Republic, a briefing on the United Nations Multidimensional Integrated Stabilization Mission in the Central African Republic (MINUSCA);
Somalia, a briefing on the work of the 751 Somalia Sanctions Committee;
Sudan / South Sudan, a briefing on the United Nations Interim Security Force for Abyei (UNISFA); and
Mali, a briefing on the United Nations Multidimensional Integrated Stabilization Mission in Mali (MINUSMA).
The Council will hold its monthly meetings on the political and humanitarian situation and on the use of chemical weapons in Syria. Other Middle East issues on this month’s work program include:
Yemen, the monthly meeting on developments;
the Golan Heights, a briefing during consultations on the United Nations Disengagement Observer Force (UNDOF);
“The situation in the Middle East, including the Palestinian question”, the quarterly public debate; and
Lebanon, a briefing in consultations on the implementation of resolution 1559.